At 11 am edt...the government of France has issued a tropical storm warning for Guadeloupe. A tropical storm warning is now in effect for Guadeloupe... St. Martin and St. Barthelemy.
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Antigua... Barbuda... Montserrat... St. Kitts... Nevis... Anguilla... St. Maarten... Saba... and St. Eustatius.
Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands... the U.S. and British Virgin Islands... and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of Erika. Tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for a portion of these areas later today.
At 1100 am edt...the center of tropical storm Erika was estimated to be near latitude 16.5 north... longitude 60.4 west or about 100 miles east-southeast of the Leeward Islands.
Erika is moving toward the west near 10 mph. A west- northwestward motion is expected to begin later today. On the forecast track... Erika will be moving through the Leeward Islands tonight and tomorrow.
maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph... with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today with some slight restrengthening possible tomorrow.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...mainly to the east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb... 29.77 inches.
Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over much of the Lesser Antilles during the next couple of days... with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. Over Puerto Rico... 3 to 5 inches of rain are possible during the next few days... with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 200 pm edt followed by the next complete advisory at 500 pm edt.
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